Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.001599 0.001699 0.001803 0.001919 0.002044 0.002174 0.002322
2025-02-09 0.001470 0.001615 0.001771 0.001951 0.002154 0.002378 0.002642
2025-02-16 0.001414 0.001593 0.001792 0.002030 0.002309 0.002626 0.003017
2025-02-23 0.001329 0.001527 0.001752 0.002029 0.002363 0.002755 0.003254
2025-03-02 0.001227 0.001433 0.001671 0.001971 0.002340 0.002785 0.003367
2025-03-09 0.001151 0.001363 0.001612 0.001932 0.002335 0.002831 0.003496
2025-03-16 0.001102 0.001321 0.001585 0.001928 0.002370 0.002925 0.003688
2025-03-23 0.001049 0.001273 0.001545 0.001906 0.002378 0.002982 0.003833
2025-03-30 0.001007 0.001235 0.001517 0.001895 0.002398 0.003055 0.003998
2025-04-06 0.000963 0.001192 0.001478 0.001869 0.002395 0.003096 0.004121
2025-04-13 0.000919 0.001148 0.001436 0.001835 0.002381 0.003117 0.004215
2025-04-20 0.000864 0.001087 0.001370 0.001766 0.002314 0.003063 0.004197
2025-04-27 0.000853 0.001085 0.001386 0.001812 0.002414 0.003255 0.004562
2025-05-04 0.000835 0.001074 0.001389 0.001841 0.002493 0.003424 0.004905
2025-05-11 0.000835 0.001086 0.001422 0.001915 0.002639 0.003697 0.005429
2025-05-18 0.000809 0.001062 0.001405 0.001914 0.002675 0.003809 0.005706
2025-05-25 0.000767 0.001015 0.001352 0.001860 0.002628 0.003789 0.005768
2025-06-01 0.000734 0.000978 0.001314 0.001824 0.002606 0.003807 0.005892
2025-06-08 0.000713 0.000957 0.001298 0.001821 0.002634 0.003902 0.006151
2025-06-15 0.000688 0.000930 0.001271 0.001800 0.002632 0.003951 0.006333
2025-06-22 0.000668 0.000909 0.001252 0.001789 0.002646 0.004026 0.006564
2025-06-29 0.000645 0.000883 0.001224 0.001765 0.002637 0.004059 0.006723
2025-07-06 0.000621 0.000856 0.001193 0.001733 0.002614 0.004069 0.006838